Oil below $50, rally loses steam as stocks fall
By DIRK LAMMERS08 Apr 2009 4:01 AM
Oil below $50, rally loses steam as stocks fall
Eds: RECASTS with more details; UPDATES prices. For global
distribution.
AP Energy Writer
SIOUX FALLS, South Dakota (AP) - Oil prices fell below $50 a
barrel Tuesday as the energy markets took a downhill ride with the
stock markets amid growing doubts about corporate earnings and
global energy demand.
Benchmark crude for May delivery fell $1.69 cents to $49.36 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
In afternoon trading, the major stock market indicators,
including Dow Jones industrials, were off more than 2 percent.
Daniel Flynn, an analyst at Alaron Trading Corp., said oil is
trading off the dollar and the stock indices, and that trend is
likely to continue until global demand picks up and starts tapping
into growing crude stockpiles.
Oil prices have latched onto equities in recent weeks, and both
have risen on hopes that the worst of the recession is over. Oil
prices jumped from below $35 in February to above $54 last month as
economic optimism trumped concerns of poor demand and oversupply
because of the recession.
Supply and demand are key factors, said Tom Kloza, publisher and
chief oil analyst at Oil Price Information Service, but investors
should not overlook the most important fundamental - money flow.
Kloza, noting that the December crude futures contract neared $60
recently, said investors continue to flock to the oil markets for a
long-term hedge against inflation.
"That's really the yin and the yang of it right now, and I don't
know if the yin is going to win or the yang is going to win," he
said.
With few new economic indicators to mull over, traders focused on
the start of first-quarter earnings season, with aluminum giant
Alcoa Inc. scheduled to report after the stock market closes.
Many investors expect dismal earnings pictures from many
companies hit by the recession. As the economy slows, so does demand
for petroleum products such as motor fuels, petrochemicals and
asphalt.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration releases its weekly
inventory report Wednesday morning, and the International Energy
Agency will follow with its monthly global oil demand survey and
outlook on Friday.
"I think everyone is betting that it's going to be a pretty
sharp downward revision in the 2009 forecast," Kloza said.
Flynn said few expect a sunny forecast and the expected bad news
is probably priced into oil already.
In other Nymex trading, gasoline for May delivery fell 1.22 cents
to $1.4633 a gallon. Heating oil lost 2.82 cents at $1.3909 a
gallon. Natural gas for May delivery also slipped, down 16.5 cents
to fetch $3.566 per 1,000 cubic feet. earlier, natural gas hit a new
low of $3.564 per 1,000 cubic feet.
In London, Brent prices fell 95 cents to $51.29 a barrel on the
ICE Futures exchange.
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Associated Press Writers Alex Kennedy in Singapore and George
Jahn in Vienna contributed to this report.
AP-TK-07-04-09 1801GMT